CLU economists say short lockdown key to small business survival

A new report from the Center for Economic Research & Forecasting at California Lutheran University underscores the ferocity of the debate around re-opening the economy. CERF forecasters Matthew Fienup and Dan Hamilton now project a stunning, nearly 20 percent drop in GDP and Great Depression levels of job losses, followed by a long, slow U-shaped Read More →
CLU economists predict downturn worse than Great Recession

California Lutheran University’s economic forecast group is warning that policymakers have limited options to head off a downturn that could be worse than the Great Recession. In an update to recent forecasts, the Center for Economic Research & Forecasting warns that massive stimulus efforts may not help speed a recovery if “countless numbers of small Read More →

Dubroff: Trade war raises questions about the dollar’s durability

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Fienup: Federal Reserve actions diminish economic future

By Matthew Fienup For years, we have been critical of Federal Reserve policy and the significant impacts that it is having on the U.S. economy. As we wrote in 2017, “U.S. monetary policy is among the greatest of internal risks to U.S. economic growth.” And in 2018, “Extraordinary policy experimentation undertaken by the Federal Reserve Read More →

Kashkari: Fed needs new approach to monetary policy

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Recession not likely in 2019 according to economic forecast

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